Ecological niche models (ENMs) use environmental and climatic factors — temperature, precipitation, elevation and the normalised difference vegetation index — to predict the effects of climate change on the distribution of disease vectors.
Information linking current environmental conditions with dengue epidemics, and on the role of future climate in determining epidemic risk areas, is limited. We use ENMs such as maximum-entropy species distribution modelling (MaxEnt) to explore the geographic distribution of Aedes aegypti in relation to dengue epidemics, and to identify bioclimatic conditions associated with dengue in Tanzania — see Mweya et al. (2016) and Mweya et al. (2013).
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